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Essays

The Strange Triumph of a Broken America: Why Power Abroad Comes with Dysfunction at Home.

Foreign Affairs, January/February,  2025.

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The China Hangover Is Here.

New York Times, August 19,  2024.

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Countering Chinese Aggression in the South China Sea.

War on the Rocks, July 23, 2024.

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How Primed for War Is China? 

Foreign Policy, February 4, 2024.

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A Peaceful Solution on Taiwan Is Slipping Away.

New York Times, January 17, 2024.

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Delusions of Detente: Why American and China Will Be Enduring Rivals.

Foreign Affairs, September/October 2023.

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No One Should Want to See a Dictator Get Old

New York Times, August 15, 2023.

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A More Hawkish China Policy? 

The Conversation, March 2, 2023. 

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Accepting a Cold War with China Is the Best Option.

Washington Examiner, December 6, 2022. 

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China's Growing Threat to Global Democracy  

Journal of Democracy, January 2023. 

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The Return of Pax Americana? Putin's War Is Fortifying the Democratic Alliance.

Foreign Affairs, March 14, 2022.

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Enemies of My Enemy: How Fear of China Is Forging a New World Order.  

Foreign Affairs, March/April, 2022.

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Washington Is Preparing for the Wrong War with China.  

Foreign Affairs, December 16, 2021.

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What Will Drive China to War?

The Atlantic, November 1, 2021.

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The End of China’s Rise.  

Foreign Affairs, October 1, 2021.

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China Is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem.  

Foreign Policy, September 24, 2021.

  • Winner: Best Long Read Article of the Year, Foreign Policy.

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America Is Not Ready for a War with China.  

Foreign Affairs, June 10, 2021.

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America Needs to Rediscover Strategic MacGyverism.  

National Interest, March 27, 2021. 

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Challenges Facing Democracy in the United States.  

International Affairs Forum, February 26, 2021.

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Rogue Superpower: Why This Could Be an Illiberal American Century.  

Foreign Affairs, November/December 2020.

  • Selected as one of the 10 best print articles of 2020 by Foreign Affairs.  

  • Runner Up: Best Policy Article on U.S. Foreign Policy and Grand Strategy, American in the World Consortium, a partnership among University of Texas and Duke and Johns Hopkins Universities.

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Competition with China Could Be Short and Sharp.  

Foreign Affairs, December 17, 2020.

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China Keeps Inching Closer to Taiwan.  

Foreign Policy, October 19, 2020.

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How Will China Shape Global Governance?

ChinaFile, May 9, 2020.

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In Future Wars, the U.S. Military Will Have Nowhere to Hide.  

Foreign Policy, November 20, 2019.

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The United States Should Fear a Faltering China. 

Foreign Affairs, October 28, 2019.

  • Selected as one of the 10 best web articles of 2019 by Foreign Affairs.  

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Stop Obsessing about China.

Foreign Affairs, September 21, 2018.

  • Selected as one of the 10 best web articles of 2018 by Foreign Affairs.  

 

How America Can Build a Durable Military Balance in Asia.

The Interpreter, December 6, 2017. 

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Balancing China.

War on the Rocks, November 15, 2017.

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Enforcing International Law in the South China Sea. 

RSIS Commentary, October 6, 2016.

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The Myth of Entangling Alliances.

War on the Rocks, June 9, 2015.

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Will This Be China’s Century?

Congressional Quarterly Researcher, 2014.

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China and Pakistan: Fair-Weather Friends. 

Yale Journal of International Affairs, 2014.

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How Big a Competitive Threat Is China, Really?

Harvard Business Review, February 29, 2012.


Defining Decline. 

Washington Post, February 6, 2012.

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U.S.-China: Measuring Decline and Rise. 

The Interpreter, 2012.

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China Is Rising But Not Catching Up.

Christian Science Monitor, December 14, 2011.

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The End of the Beginning: Why Bush and Rumsfeld Don’t Promise an Early Exit from Iraq.

Weekly Standard, April 15, 2005.

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NATO’s Afghan Failure Will Hurt Europe.

Financial Times, September 30, 2004.

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